SAUDI J. ECON. FIN. | Sept. 30, 2018
Did The Indonesian Stock Exchange Efficient? (Testing Lq 45 Period 2017 with Weak Form)
Hakiman Thamrin
Page no 204-207 |
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Investors can choose to invest in the real investment sector or in the financial
sector. The decision to choose the investment sector is mainly determined by the amount
of return (return) generated and the risk (risk) that will be received by investors due to the
investment. Theoretically the risks and returns received from an investment will go hand
in hand. The higher the rewards expected to be received, the greater the risk that investors
will receive. Fama (1970) classified information into three types, namely; (i) oast price
change (past price changes), (ii) public information (publicly available information) and
(iii) public and private information (good information available to the public and not).
The efficient market hypothesis has been widely tested and, with the data in a wide
variety of markets and variety result. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, we seem to
be entering a stage where widely scattered and as yet incohesive evidence is arising which
seems to be inconsistent with the theory. Daily observations are taken for the period
January 2017 to December 2017 on LQ-45 at IDX. Autocorrelation, Ljung-Box Qstatistic Test, to test the hypothesis that the stock market follows a random walk. Daily
returns are not normally distributed, because they are negatively skewed and leptokurtic.
In aggregate we concluded that the daily prices do not follows random walks in LQ-45
IDX. The investors can take the stream of benefits through arbitrage process from
profitable opportunities across these markets.
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE | Oct. 30, 2018
Exchange Rate Volatility and the Nigerian Industrial Sector Performance
Aidi, Hakeem O, Saidu, Iya Abbas, Suleiman, Hussein, I.
Page no 208-215 |
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Exchange rate is an important macroeconomic variable that economic planners,
policymakers as well as governments all over the world monitor very closely. This may
be because volatility in exchange rate is capable of putting an entire nation in an acute
state of disequilibrium. In Nigeria, economists and other stakeholders have continued to
make relevant efforts to restore normalcy/stability to the nation’s exchange rate that has
been subjected to severe rate of volatility in recent years. The Nigerian industrial sector
remains a potentially viable alternative amidst the incessant widespread calls for
diversification of the Nigerian economy. As such, it is not against conventional wisdom to
say that since industrialisation may involve importation (of raw materials), exportation (of
finished goods) or both; one may not be wrong to expect a link with exchange rate.
Therefore, this study investigated the relationship between exchange rate volatility and
industrial sector performance in Nigeria using quarterly time series data spanning from
1980Q1 to 2016Q4. The researchers relied on the use of OLS multiple regression
technique for analysis while exchange rate volatility was generated using Exponential
Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH). The result
showed that exchange rate volatility is inversely related to industrial sector performance
(using industrial sector contribution to GDP as a proxy) in Nigeria. Furthermore, trade
openness was observed to have a negative sign (though statistically insignificant) while
exchange rate and interest were also found to be strong and significant positive drivers of
industrial sector performance in Nigeria. Following the findings, the Nigeria government
and other stakeholders are advised to hasten efforts to arrest the perennial fluctuations in
exchange rate in the country in order to stimulate expansion of productivity in industrial
sector.
REVIEW ARTICLE | Oct. 30, 2018
An Empirical Study on the Influencing Factors of the Corporate Performance of Listed Companies in the Transportation Industry – Evidence from China
Maoguo Wu, Hao Wu
Page no 216-223 |
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According to the development trend of the transportation industry and rapid
economic growth, China has carried out strategic layout and planning routes for the
transportation industry. The National Development and Reform Commission have also
issued a number of documents that promote the construction of a modern transportation
system, and promote transportation projects such as railways, waterways, airports, and
urban transportation. Besides, it continuously invests large amounts of money in
companies in the transportation industry. The mission of companies in the transportation
industry is of great importance. It can be seen that China’s transportation industry is at a
stage of rapid development, and it has received strong support from the government.
Nevertheless, it still has a long way to go. To improve the transportation infrastructure of
the nation, companies in the transportation industry must strive to improve their corporate
performance. This paper empirically investigates the impact of factors such as financial
factors, internal operations, and corporate growth on the corporate performance of listed
companies in the transportation industry, with the aim of helping listed companies in the
transportation industry to develop a sound corporate strategy and conduct standardized
and effective management to improve corporate performance. This paper selects data of
42 listed companies in the transportation industry from 2012 to 2016, and utilizes the
fixed effect model that controls heteroskedasticity to analyze influencing factors of the
corporate performance of listed companies in the transportation industry. Empirical
results show that core ratio, return on personnel, long-term debt ratio, and quality of staff
positively influences the corporate performance of listed companies in the transportation
industry. Factors such as operation cost ratio, managerial cost ratio, size, and delay ratio
have a negative impact on the corporate performance of listed companies in the
transportation industry. Policy implications are proposed accordingly.
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE | Oct. 30, 2018
Impact of Exchange Rate to Financial Remitanceses Econometric Evidence from Nigeria, (1990-2016). OLS Regression Approach
Ezema, Clifford Anene, Nwekwo, Ngozi Mabel, Agbaji, Benjamin Chukwuma
Page no 224-232 |
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The study measured the impact of exchange rate to financial remittance in
Nigeria for the period 1990 to 2016 using the traditional ordinary least square method for
estimation. Also, empirical and theoretical evidence from Nigeria. Africa and the
continent was compared. The analyses of the OLS regression showed evidence that real
effective exchange rate positively and significantly impacted on financial remittance in
Nigeria. Similarly, estimates from the ordinary least square model provide evidence to
show that exchange rate also positively significantly impacted on other macroeconomic
variables such as money supply but negatively to economic growth under the period of
the study. The result points to the fact that the macroeconomic variables and financial
remittance in Nigeria if well managed can engineer the Nigerian economy to greater
growth.
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE | Oct. 30, 2018
The Effect of Islamic Capital Market Development on Economic Growth in Indonesia
Novita Sari, Syamsurijal AK, Marlina Widiyanti
Page no 233-239 |
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The purpose of the study is to find out whether there is a long-term and shortterm influence of the development of the Islamic capital market on economic growth in
Indonesia. The data used are monthly data from January 2011 to December 2017 with
Islamic stock variables, Islamic bonds (sukuk), and Islamic mutual funds as independent
variables, as well as economic growth as the dependent variable. This research uses longterm relationship and error correction models to see the existence of short-term
relationships. The results of this show are the significant positive influence between
corporate sukuk, the Jakarta Islamic Index and Islamic Mutual Funds on Economic
Growth in Indonesia. Whereas in the short term there is no influence between corporate
sukuk, the Jakarta Islamic Index, and Islamic Mutual Funds on Economic Growth in
Indonesia. Based on the results of the study, it can be implied that Islamic capital market
is able to become an alternative capital to increase economic growth in Indonesia with
long-term analysis using ECM.
REVIEW ARTICLE | Oct. 30, 2018
The Role of Village-Owned Enterprises between Entrepreneurs 'Growth
Warti’ah, Thyophoida W.S Panjaitan
Page no 240-246 |
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Economic development of a village will be successful if there is participation
from entrepreneurs who are expected to create jobs. Entrepreneurship is a development
potential that can drive the economy of a village, therefore, it is very necessary to
empower the businesses that are expected to be able to develop the potential of the village
through innovation and creativity. So that this can be achieved, it needs support from
various parties and one of them is a Village-Owned Enterprise (BUMDesa). BUMDesa is
intended to strengthen village income, increase business opportunities, reduce
unemployment and at the same time become the motor of the village economy. The
existence of MSMEs with BUMDesa is supposed to go together, this is because if the
economy wants to advance then the small businesses owned by the community must be
supported by advanced and organized management. In addition there are other factors that
can support the success and sustainability of a business, namely human resources. As a
business manager, it is required to have an entrepreneurial spirit, where the spirit of
entrepreneurship can be formed through the world of education and non-education and
this is the duty of universities to provide supplies and motivate graduates to become
entrepreneurs.
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE | Oct. 30, 2018
Effect of Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR), Non Performing Loan (NPL), Net Interet Margin (NIM) On Return on Assets (ROA) with ATM as Moderation Variables
F. X. Soegeng, Lusy, V. Ratna Inggawati, Hening Widi Oetomo
Page no 247-250 |
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Banking plays an important role in the economic development of a country,
where banks provide benefits to the mechanism of available sources of funds effectively
and efficiently. In addition, banks provide financial services to all levels of society, so that
the soundness of banks must be considered so that the economy is better. Therefore, it is
very important to assess the performance of a financial institution. The purpose of the
assessment is to determine the state of health of a bank. Where the soundness of a bank is
seen from the performance of the bank that is assessed in terms of profitability, and the
level of profitability is assessed through Return on Assets (ROA). Innovations made by
banks on the basis of information technology have an extraordinary impact on efficiency
and effectiveness. One of them is the existence of electronic banking products such as
ATMs. This study aims to examine the effect of the Loan Deposit Ratio (LDR), NonPerforming Loan (NPL) and Net Interest Margin (NIM) on Return on Assets (ROA), as
well as ATM as a moderating variable on the effect of Loan Deposit Ratio, NonPerforming Loans, and Net Interest Margin against Return on Assets. In Banks listed on
the Indonesia Stock Exchange, from 2010 to 2017. Sampling using Purposive Sampling.
The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression with SPSS 24. Research shows
that Loan Deposit Ratio, Non-Performing Loans, and Net Interest Margin are able to
explain Return on Assets. Research results show that (1) Loan Deposit Ratio has a
significant negative effect on Return on Assets; (2) Non-Performing Loans have a
significant negative effect on Return on Assets; (3) Net Interest Margin has a significant
positive effect on Return on Assets; and (4) ATMs do not moderate the influence of Loan
Deposit Ratio, Non-Performing Loans, and Net Interest Margin on Return on Assets.
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE | Oct. 30, 2018
Factors Affecting the Scenario of Women Participation in the Agricultural Labor Force in Punjab, Pakistan
Nazia Tabasam, Anuam Arshad, Shabbir Ahmad, Saira Akhtar
Page no 251--256 |
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The underlying research problem was the outcome of a crucial need to estimate
the scenario of women participation in the agricultural labor force in the Punjab Province
of Pakistan. It is an established fact that agriculture is the backbone of the economy of
Pakistan and the rural women take part in the agricultural activities with zeal and zest as
the male to female ratio is slightly higher in Pakistan according to the census of 2018.
There are numerous factors which affect the female participation in the agricultural labor
force. Hence, this study was an effort to identify such factors and quantify their effect on
female labor force participation decisions in the rural areas of the Punjab Province,
Pakistan. Cross Sectional data of 1800 women for the years 2001-02 and 2010-11 were
extensively used which was collected by Household Integrated Economic Survey (HIES).
The identified influencing factors were: Age, educational level, household size, monthly
income, and the status of women. The analysis of the logit model showed a positive
relationship between female age, educational level, household size, household monthly
income, and female as the household head, on the female labor force participation (FLFP)
decisions in the agricultural activities. Negative relationship of FLFP was found with
married women and the infants (under 5 years) in the household for the year 2001-02. The
status of women as daughter, daughter-in-law and others (cousin, aunt etc.) were
negatively influencing the FLFP decisions. But for the year 2010-11, the presence of the
infants in the household, age, educational level, household size, household monthly
income was positively related to FLFP. The status of women in the household as the
household head, daughter, daughter-in-law and others (cousin, aunt etc.) were also
positively influencing the FLFP decisions in rural areas of the Punjab Province of
Pakistan. The findings of this present research study suggest that in focusing on the
factors that encourage women to participate in agricultural labor force of Pakistan, an
economic revolution can be brought in all the socio-economic spheres along with the
emancipation of the suppressed women in the other provinces of Pakistan such as Sindh
and Baluchistan where though women participate in the labor force but their participation
still is not recognized by the dominated male community.
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE | Oct. 30, 2018
The Effect of Government Expenditure Education, Health and Minimum Wages on Human Development Index of Five Sumatera in South Part Provinces
Yulisyah Fiuna, Didik Susetyo, dan Yunisvita
Page no 257-262 |
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This study aims to determine the effect of government spending on education,
health, and minimum wages on the Five Human Development Index in Southern Sumatra
Province. The analytical tool used is panel data with the study period of 2007 to 2016 in
five southern Sumatra Provinces namely Jambi, South Sumatra, Bengkulu, Lampung and
Bangka Belitung. The results show that minimum wages are the most dominant variable
and have a significant effect on the HDI. Whereas the other two variables, namely
government spending in education and health do not significantly affect the HDI. Overall
the HDI average is not much different and there is no discrepancy between provinces in
Southern Sumatra from the range of 68 percent to 70 percent. However, of the five
provinces in Southern Sumatra, there are two provinces with higher HDI figures than the
others, namely Jambi Province and Bangka Belitung Province.
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE | Oct. 30, 2018
Comparative Analysis Approach to Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Emerging Economies (1990-2017)
Aderemi Timothy Ayomitunde, Abalaba Bamidele Pereowei, Ebere Chidinma E, Ojelade Lydia Omolola
Page no 263-269 |
10.36348/sjef
Several heterogeneity factors such as government policies on foreign trade,
growth rate of economy, market size and cost of labour in emerging economies motivated
this study. However, bulk of recent empirical cross country studies on FDI and economic
growth in emerging countries have shown mixed results. Therefore, this study employs
OLS technique to examine a comparative analysis of performance of FDI inflows in
BRICS economies alongside with Singapore and Hong Kong in the last 27 years.
Consequently, the findings from this analysis show that the principal determinant of FDI
inflows in China is large market size, growth rate and GDP per capita growth.
Meanwhile, only the market size is the principal determinant of FDI inflows in Brazil,
India, South Africa, Singapore and Hong Kong and GDP per capita growth is an
insignificant determinant of FDI inflows in both Russia and South Africa. This paper
hereby recommends based on its findings that: the policy makers in Brazil, India, Russia
Federation, South Africa, Singapore and Hong Kong should embark on policy measures
that will facilitate a rapid expansion of the country`s market size. This in turn will have a
positive multiplier effects on the growth rate and GDP per capita growth in their
economies. However, policy makers in China should embark on policy measure that will
ensure the sustainability of the market size of the economy.