Saudi Journal of Engineering and Technology (SJEAT)
Volume-3 | Issue-05 | 276-285
Original Research Article
A Critical Review of Shale Gas Production Analysis and Forecast Methods
Ukadike Nwaobi, Gabrial Anandarajah
Published : May 30, 2018
Abstract
This paper critically reviews methods applied in forecasting production of
unconventional gas plays. The review focuses on methodologies suitable for shale gas
plays, methodological ability to account for parameter and data uncertainty, as well as
suitability for appraising undeveloped shale gas plays. The production analysis and
forecast methods reviewed include empirical/decline curves, type curves and
analytical/numerical methods applicable to unconventional gas production analysis
and forecast. The review shows that most of the studies focus on developed shale gas
plays, neither account for shale gas well reservoir heterogeneity nor account for
below ground uncertainties-such as reservoir and source rock properties. This study
concludes that significant research is needed to address the identified limitations of
existing studies.