Saudi Journal of Economics and Finance (SJEF)
Volume-2 | Issue-06 | 295-301
Original Research Article
International Capital Flows and Industrial Performance in Nigeria (1990-2015) Cointegration, DOLS and Granger Causality Approach
Olayemi Henry Omotayo, Aderemi Timothy Ayomiytunde, Ogunade Ayomide Olayinka, Eyeke Anayo Valentine
Published : Nov. 30, 2018
Abstract
It has been observed in the recent time that the bulk of studies on foreign
capital flows in Nigeria focused on aggregate economic performance, neglecting the
performance of industrial sub-sector. In order to move the frontiers of knowledge in this
regard, the paper critically examined the relationship between international capital flows
and industrial performance in Nigeria using Cointegration, DOLS and Granger Causality
Approach. The study extracted data from CBN Statistical Bulletin and UNCTAD
investment report from 1990-2015. Consequently, in order to address the objective of this
study necessary diagnostic tests such as unit roots, co-integration and Pairwise Granger
Causality Tests were estimated. The findings that emerged from this paper is as follows:
long-run effect shows that foreign direct investment and external debt have a significant
positive relationship with industrial performance in Nigeria. However, the remittances
though have a positive relationship with industrial performance in Nigeria, but are not
significant. Also, there is a unidirectional causality which runs from industrial
performance to FDI inflows in Nigeria. Hence, this paper recommends that Nigerian
government should see inflows of foreign capital as a viable catalyst that has the capacity
to propel the expansion of the country`s industrial sector, and the policy makers in the
country should embark on policy measures that will ensure the sustainability of foreign
direct investment inflows and external debt towards the direction of industrial sectors in
Nigeria. In the same vein, larger percentage of remittances should be tailored towards
industrial sector in the country. If foreign capital flows is sustained there will be industrial
revolution in the economy in the nearest future.