Saudi Journal of Business and Management Studies (SJBMS)
Volume-3 | Issue-06 | 653-662
Original Research Article
Patterns of Stock Returns in Indonesia from 2003 To 2008
Noor Azuddin Yakob
Published : June 30, 2018
Abstract
This study examines the pattern of stock returns in the Indonesian stock
market. Using the GARCH (1, 1) model, the study investigates the effects of day-ofthe-week, month-of-the-year and monthly on the daily return series from January 2003
to August 2008. The study also examines the combined effect of the three anomalies.
Overall, stock returns are found to be lower at the beginning of the week but closed
higher by the end of the week. The stock returns are also found to be lower during the
first quarter of the year but they register higher returns throughout the remaining
months of the year, particularly towards the end of the year. The stock returns
consistently produced significant positive returns on Wednesday throughout the month
of April and May. Although evidence of significant positive returns is also found on
other days within certain months, they do not prevail throughout the entire month.
They are confined either to the first or second half of the month. The presence of
seasonal effects in the Indonesian stock market indicates that market participants have
the chance of making significant returns when trading on the specific days of the
months. However, the abnormal gains are subject to the transaction cost which is not
accounted for in this study.