Saudi Journal of Business and Management Studies (SJBMS)
Volume-3 | Issue-05 | 523-539
Original Research Article
Analysis of The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on Residential Property Price Index In Jabodebek-Banten
Endri
Published : May 30, 2018
Abstract
Increased demand has driven the property business to grow and expand
more rapidly. This has a positive impact on the national economy because it can
increase the rate of economic growth through the level of investment. Behind its rapid
development, the property business is extremely vulnerable to economic shock.. With
Vector Error Corection Model (VECM) method, this study aims to see what
macroeconomic variables influence the Residential property prices index as well as the
magnitude of their contribution and how residential property price index respond to
macroeconomic shocks. Macroeconomic variables used in this study such as economic
growth, inflation, interest rates, money supply, and exchange rates. The results of this
study show interest rates and economic growth does not significantly affect residential
property price index on Jabodebek-Banten. The responses generated from the Impulse
Response Function is different in each category. Meanwhile from the Forecast Error
Variance Decomposition shows that the Money Supply, Exchange Rate, and Inflation
has a big contribution on the shocks that occur in residential property price index in
Jabodebek-Banten in various categories.