Saudi Journal of Business and Management Studies (SJBMS)
Volume-2 | Issue-11 | 1015-1025
Original Research Article
What Determines Real Exchange Rates? Evidence from Asia
Dilesha Nawadali Rathnayake, Gang Sun, Ning Ding
Published : Nov. 30, 2017
Abstract
This study examines the macroeconomic factors which are affecting to
real effective exchange rates (REER) from selected ten countries in Asia. Two panel
regression approaches namely fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS),
dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) and fixed effects are applied using panel
data over the period 2002–2016. Empirical results show that presence of a
significant long-term association amongst the REER and seven macroeconomic
determents namely interest rate, inflation, trade balance, terms of trade, trade
openness, foreign reserves and share price index and their significance are
remaining same in all models applied. However, trade balance has a positive
connection with the REER while other significant variables have a negative
association with the REER in long run. Moreover, the money supply (M2) and real
gross domestic production (GDP) do not show a significant relationship with the
REER.