Saudi Journal of Business and Management Studies (SJBMS)
Volume-2 | Issue-03 | 312-321
Original Research Article
Budget Deficit and Economic Performance in Nigeria
Momodu Ayodele A, Monogbe Tunde G
Published : March 31, 2017
Abstract
Since the past year budget deficit is corrected in the current year, this study seek to examine the lag effect of
previous year‟s budget deficit on performance of the Nigeria economy in the contemporary year using VAR estimation
between the periods 1981 to 2015. From the foregoing statistical output, findings established that Budget deficit
significantly stimulate economic performance. The output of the granger causality test shows that budget deficit
statistically granger cause economic performance and viz versa while the result of the multiple regression of the ordinary
least square report a significant but negative relationship to economic performance. The negative response of budget
deficit to economic performance could be attributed to moral hazard, mismanagement of fund and financial indiscipline
which prevent the country from enjoying the sustainable level of expected growth overtime. The output of the VAR
estimate established that the lag value of federal government budget deficit has contributed to performance of the
economy in the current year although the contributive quadrant is not been felt to a reasonable extent. This empirical
findings support the Keynesian postulation of significant relationship between budget deficit and economic performance.
Prior to our findings, study recommends that Policy makers should ensure effective utilisation of borrowed fund and
maintain a sporadic evaluation and supervision of such project in which borrowed fund are channelled into in order to
achieve a profitable returns which will help in servicing of such debt and also stimulate economic performance.